Fed Bailout Meeting Ends in Food Fight…

Yesterdays meeting over the proposed bailout turned into a playground brawl. Macaroni was thrown in the lunchroom and some politicians were given swirlies in the restroom. Ok, maybe not to that extent but it is how I picture it in my mind. 

The Democrats say they reached bipartisan agreement, the Republicans are not so sure. Obama and McCain were present and I don’t think anybody on the road missed them. 

Far from solved, some of the issues are far reaching and cross the line to new ground. 

For starters, I am very interested in the draft that would require limits on compensation for the executives participating in the bailout. Yes, you heard right, they are considering limiting excessive “golden parachutes” for the executives that ran the failing companies. I hope it did not take “America’s Best” to figure that one out – unless of course some of the politicians are on payroll. 

Why on earth would you not limit the compensation? How about you limit it to say…ZERO. If the companies go under (without the help of taxpayer money) I suspect their current golden parachutes would fail to open under any circumstance – so why should the taxpayers fund any of it? 

Another point is whether, going forward, bankruptcy judges will be able to modify mortgage terms. Although perhaps seeming good for the consumer on the surface, these newly structured loans go back to pay…well, us. Good luck finding any lender in the future if the courts can go in and change the terms at any time. 

The upside? 

It appears they are not looking at dropping $700 billion all at once. The draft calls for Congress to make $250 billion available with another $100 billion on standby. 

Why the delay? 

Well, I would like to think it is because some people in DC are coming to their senses; that taxpayers bailing out private companies might not be a good thing. In reality I am going to guess the Treasury just can’t print money that quick without jamming up the machine. 

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What Does the Fannie Mae Seizure Mean to You?

The historic seizure of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will have far outreaching ramifications. With both executive boards on their way out (with incredible settlements I may add) the government is stepping in. So what does all this mean to you? 

Stability (or Stop the Bleeding!) – Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac back more than half of all U.S. Mortgage Debt. During the recent months the product line has been particularly volatile (creating a large gap between these bonds and a 10-year Treasury Bond). Any stability in this arena will quiet investors (in a good way!). 

Rate Drop – Since both entities will now effectively be government-owned you should see as much as a 1 percent drop in rates. Think of it as “direct to the manufacturer” pricing. This will be essential for banks to get back in the game. 

Weather the Storm – Nothing will fix the current situation overnight but it does help ensure the companies will not run short of cash anytime soon.  Large companies such as Pacific Investment Management Company (world’s largest bond fund) were not looking to buy unless the government took action. 

Not being one for government intervention to begin with…

I have to say this is a good move for most of us in the long run. Essentially we have cut out the middleman in order to stop the current turmoil. 

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Fannie Mae Announces $2.3 Billion Loss

Last year, profits of $1.97 billion. 

This year (so far) a net loss of  $2.3 billion. 

So, how bad is it going to get? 

As mortgage guarantors, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac pay out when individuals default on their loans – and there has been a lot of that happening lately. 

Last month the federal government approved the financial bailout should Fannie Mae need it. They will need it and the taxpayers will be hit hard. 

Although Fannie Mae is now taking steps to correct the situation it is really too late. Here are two steps they are taking to try and right the ship… 

  • Fannie Mae lowered their dividend payout by 85% 
  • Fannie Mae will stop purchasing ‘Alt-A” loans (loans where people did not have to prove their income) 

Neither will help Fannie Mae currently and in any case, it will most likely cost the taxpayers $10 – 60 billion in what is already a tough economy. 

 

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Forget the Government Housing Bailout

When will we learn from our mistakes? Or perhaps better said, “how will we ever learn?” 

The government, like an over-bearing parent, is going to swoop in and attempt to fix the current housing crisis as opposed to allowing the natural set of consequences to play out. This isn’t Monopoly, this is real money, and this “rescue legislation” is definitely a case where they are going to do considerably more damage than good. 

I don’t even know where to start. Let’s see… 

Provide Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac an unlimited credit line to make housing loans.  – Yea, and why not provide teenagers an unlimited credit card to use at the mall? 

Provide bail out to an estimated 400,000 homeowners in trouble.  - Don’t get me wrong, I feel very sorry for people losing their homes. Many were just hit with bad timing and 400,000 is not even a drop in the bucket of people in trouble. But many simply purchased too much house. When you can’t afford to make the (normal) amortized payments perhaps you should have been looking for a smaller house from the start. 

Modernize the FHA and allow riskier loans. – You are kidding right? You did say “riskier?” Yea, that will solve it all. [Read more...]

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